Bob Schwartz

Message to governors standing by Trump: There is a bus waiting for you to be thrown under

It is astonishing how many Republican politicians—governors, Senators, etc.—are still taking their marching orders from Trump, even in the midst of the worst American crisis in decades.

One of the many important lessons that should have been learned by those who stand by Trump is that he has no sense of loyalty. None. Or sense of responsibility during the pandemic. None. The value of any person is exactly how much good they can do for him—not for the country—right now. If that good is in any way at any time in question, their value drops to zero. When that happens, they are certain to be thrown immediately under the next passing bus.

Those buses are rolling by for the Republican governors of Florida, Arizona and Texas, who will soon be joined by others as Republican-led states are pinned down by COVID-19. As those governors contemplate making hard choices and taking action, they will get no help from Trump. Only scorn. And a quick heave-ho.

Trump trade adviser Peter Navarro says Dr. Fauci has been “wrong about everything.” This is what economists think about Navarro (“a charlatan”)

I don’t know how Peter Navarro got his PhD at Harvard.
Daniel J. Ikenson, Cato Institute


This interpretation does not explain Mr Navarro’s oddest views, like his opinion of the trade deficit. After China joined the World Trade Organisation in 2001, the trade deficit exploded at the same time as millions of manufacturing jobs vanished. Mr Navarro claims that, as a matter of arithmetic, unbalanced trade is responsible for a slowdown in growth since 2000. Mr Trump spouts similar lines, talking about the trade deficit as if it were simply lost American wealth.

This is dodgy economics. A deconstruction of spending in the economy shows exports as a positive and imports as a negative. But the same accounting exercise also shows government spending as a component of GDP. Few economists—and certainly few Republicans—would say that the bigger the government, the richer the economy in the long-term. The equation shows how resources are used, not produced.

The Economist


The economic illiteracy that animates Navarro’s policy prescriptions is startling. In a white paper published before the election describing some of candidate Trump’s economic policies, Navarro (and co‐​author, Wilbur Ross, Commerce Secretary‐​designate) revealed the central misconception that lies at the core of his global economic worldview….

He says imports deduct from output, and he calls that accounting identity the ‘economic growth formula’. He thinks that for every dollar we import, our GDP is reduced by a dollar. I don’t know how he got his PhD at Harvard.

Daniel J. Ikenson, Cato Institute


Tyler Cowen, an economics professor at George Mason University, said Mr. Navarro’s broad protectionist ideas — like Mr. Trump, he urges slapping huge tariffs on Chinese goods to reduce the trade deficit — are out of step with generally accepted economic theories. “There are plenty of economists who defend some form of protectionism,” said Mr. Cowen, to help a growing economy or to bolster selective industries. But “close to no one,” he said, agrees with Mr. Navarro’s idea that a trade deficit is bad on its face.

It’s The End Of The World As We Know It (And I Feel Fine) by R.E.M.

Time I had some time alone.

This track by R.E.M. is old (1987), cryptic, frantic, a cascade of consciousness. Also tuneful and upbeat. Like life.

What did you think the end of the world was going to sound like anyway?

It’s The End Of The World As We Know It (And I Feel Fine)

That’s great, it starts with an earthquake
Birds and snakes, and aeroplanes
And Lenny Bruce is not afraid

Eye of a hurricane, listen to yourself churn
World serves its own needs
Don’t mis-serve your own needs
Speed it up a notch, speed, grunt, no, strength
The ladder starts to clatter
With a fear of height, down, height
Wire in a fire, represent the seven games
And a government for hire and a combat site
Left her, wasn’t coming in a hurry
With the Furies breathing down your neck

Team by team, reporters baffled, trumped, tethered, cropped
Look at that low plane, fine, then
Uh oh, overflow, population, common group
But it’ll do, save yourself, serve yourself
World serves its own needs, listen to your heart bleed
Tell me with the Rapture and the reverent in the right, right
You vitriolic, patriotic, slam fight, bright light
Feeling pretty psyched

Six o’clock, T.V. hour, don’t get caught in foreign tower
Slash and burn, return, listen to yourself churn
Lock him in uniform, book burning, bloodletting
Every motive escalate, automotive incinerate
Light a candle, light a motive, step down, step down
Watch your heel crush, crush, uh oh
This means no fear, cavalier, renegade and steering clear
A tournament, a tournament, a tournament of lies
Offer me solutions, offer me alternatives and I decline

It’s the end of the world as we know it
It’s the end of the world as we know it
It’s the end of the world as we know it
It’s the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine

It’s the end of the world as we know it
It’s the end of the world as we know it
It’s the end of the world as we know it
It’s the end of the world as we know it and I feel fine (time I had some time alone)

Mann tracht un COVID-19 lacht (Man plans and COVID-19 laughs)

Mann tracht un Gott lacht.
Man plans and God laughs.
Yiddish proverb

Whether it is in one of the many nations that have responded admirably well to the pandemic or in one that has responded exceptionally poorly (like the U.S.) this much is true:

Detailed plans on how to make institutions and enterprises work—people pretending to make the rules—run straight into the wilful realities of the virus. COVID-19 laughs.

We do know some of the broad basics, and if we can manage to persuade or compel people to universally adopt best practices, we can make progress. But more complex questions, such as how to carry on in particular sectors of business and social life, are proving who and what are in charge.

Opening colleges, opening sports, opening college sports are much in the news, and are just a tiny few of the situations where brilliant scenarios appear good on paper but quickly come to look unworkable in practice.

We should continue to be aware, smart and conscientious. But we should also be prepared for our plans, even if we believe we know something and have thought of everything, to be abandoned. COVID-19 isn’t working with us. It’s laughing at us.

Cassandra talks about the pandemic

Cassandra talks about the pandemic

I made a good breakfast
omelet, home baked toast, coffee
but lunch seems too much work
the fresh of a new morning
ground down by news and poor prospects.

Cassandra was cursed by Apollo to be
a prophetess who would not be believed
all because she refused to love him.

If Cassandra came by
I might make lunch for us
not asking about the pandemic
unless she raised it
but even then
could I believe her?

© Bob Schwartz

Quis custodiet ipsos custodies? Tulsa and Watchmen on HBO.

Watchmen, the acclaimed graphic novel, was named by Time magazine as one of the 100 best novels of the 20th century. Many, including me, agree. In fall 2019 it was transformed into an HBO series.

It is a complicated story, an alternative history of contemporary America. It is about the role of police and superheroes in turbulent times. It is about the ways we deal with the “others.” It is about the power we grant to authorities so that we can be (or feel) safe, and from that emerges the question alluded to in the title, the question asked in ancient Rome: Quis custodiet ipsos custodies? Who watches the watchmen?

As with all transitions from page to screen, creative layers were added for TV. The HBO series is set in Tulsa, and begins with a harrowing depiction of the tragic Tulsa race massacre of 1921, an event that is suddenly receiving renewed and deserved attention.

Watch Watchmen, at the very least the opening scene. Read Watchmen, even if you don’t think of yourself as a graphic novel person. You will come away with new perspective, which is what we ask of art.

You do not have a right to not wear a mask or to drive 100mph

You do not have a “constitutional right” to not wear a mask in public if required by your state or local government. You do not have a “constitutional right” to drive 100mph down any road anytime you choose. .

People who don’t like following public safety measures quickly become armchair lawyers, even if, as may be the case, they have absolutely no real knowledge about law or Constitution. What they know is what they want to do, and they use the Constitution as a magic talisman to claim it.

It’s a free country, they say. But you are not free to drive 100mph if it is determined by authorities that the conduct endangers not only you but everyone else you share the road with. And you are not free to refuse to wear a mask in public if it is determined by authorities that the conduct endangers not only you but everyone else you share the public space with.

It really is that simple. If you choose to act like an irresponsible child in private, that is your business. If you choose to act like an irresponsible child in public, that is everybody’s business, and the Constitution won’t support you.

Reason and absurdity

We are no better off relying on absolute reason than we are abandoning to absurdity.

And yet…

Music: Three Little Birds by Bob Marley

Like others, Bob Marley lived a full life even though it was stopped short too soon. He changed the world. And he can change your world right now.

Three Little Birds

Don’t worry about a thing
‘Cause every little thing gonna be alright
Singing don’t worry about a thing
‘Cause every little thing gonna be alright

Rise up this morning
Smiled with the rising sun
Three little birds
Pitch by my doorstep
Singing sweet songs
Of melodies pure and true
Saying this is my message to you

Unity is a worthy ideal. But as long as we are divided, the question remains which side you are on.

I am a student of religion, a realm as filled with idealism as any, and more than most. Yet along the long evolving paths to the spiritual ideal has come heated and sometimes bitter divisions about how to get there.

In all areas, it is uncomfortable that the ideal of comity and the conflicts coexist. Serious and stubborn differences arise, and with the conflicting certainties of being right, the better angels give ground to barely disguised demons.

In these times, taking sides matters. We wish there was broader middle ground to come together on, and we work for that, but when the powerful make clear it is them against us—against you—we might must resign ourselves for now to division over the big stuff.

That makes me heartsick, as it may you. Every wise word of peace and unity should be tattooed on our souls. But students of religion recognize that the stories of embodied evil are trying to tell us something. Not that people are bad, because we are reminded they and we are only human. But that powerful people can choose sides based on bad principles and actions. And getting along with them, ceding ground to them, may in some cases be a bridge to nowhere good.